John’s Tuesday Afternoon Forecast

A cold front moves in today, leading to better chances for showers and storms. The front will be positioned across central New Mexico this afternoon. Combine that with daytime heating, expect showers and storms to fire from the Northern Mountains to the Rio Grande Valley. While the best storm chances are north of Albuquerque, don’t be surprised if the city sees some heavy rain. With a weak steering flow in place, storms won’t be moving much. This could lead to some flash flooding.

Through the rest of the week, we’ll be reusing the moisture brought in from the front. Scattered showers are storms will continue through the end of the week, especially over the higher terrain. The steering flow strengthens later this week and shifts allowing the storms to start drifting eastward off of the mountains.

Late in the weekend, another front will push toward the state with the potential to recharge the atmosphere with moisture yet again. Meanwhile, the ridge of high pressure over the Four Corners is not expected to move much. The true monsoon setup will not be in place until this high can shift to our east, opening the door for southerly moisture. In the meantime, we are doing well with regular rounds of moisture from fronts.

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