Fire danger will be high today as dry, hot, and breezy conditions develop. Red Flag Warnings have been posted across much of the state. A few locations, especially those communities just east of the central mountain chain, could see fairly gusty winds. These winds are due to a disturbance moving to our north. As it pulls away this weekend, the winds will come back down.
However, temperatures will be going up. A ridge of high pressure will move over the state, allowing afternoon highs to warm 5° – 10° above average. By Monday, most low elevation locations will reach the century mark, including Albuquerque. Things stay dry through the weekend as well.
Mid to late next week, as the high shifts eastward into Texas, we will start to get into a return flow on the backside. This southerly flow will start to draw moisture into the state, transitioning us into monsoon season. As moisture increases, temperatures will come down. Late next week, we’ll have to watch for a tropical system off the coast of Mexico. If the monsoon flow can organize in time, we could pull a great deal of moisture into the state, leading to widespread showers and storms!